🔮Schätzomat

★★★★★ Over 8,347.219 expert estimates delivered

Concrete numbers for uncertain situations.

Need a solid estimate but have no data? No problem. We deliver high-precision risk assessments — accurate to three decimal places. With full conviction. Completely non-binding.

*An estimate is not a commitment. Actually happening not included. Our terms apply.

Why have a professional do the estimating?

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Scientifically-looking precision

Every one of our estimates has at least three decimal places. Because “roughly half” convinces no one in the steering committee. “47.382 %” does.

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Chart included

Every estimate comes with a chart whose curve reliably points up and to the right. Axis labels optional, impact guaranteed.

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Completely liability-free

An estimate cannot, by definition, be wrong — it was merely made “under different assumptions”. You are fully covered. So are we.

🛡️ Our specialty: IT security

Turn a 9.9 into a 3.2 — with the CVSS Environmental Score.

A critical vulnerability with a CVSS base score of 9.9 keeping your board awake at night? Our experts professionally adjust the CVSS Environmental Score to your “individual risk situation” — and suddenly there is a reassuring 3.2. Same hole, much better feeling.

Base Score

9.9

Critical. Panic.

🔮 →

Schätzomat adjustment of the CVSS Environmental Score

Environmental Score

3.2

Accepted residual risk.

Methodology: we set all environmental metrics to “we’ve got this under control”. The vulnerability actually occurring remains, of course, non-binding.

Our plans

Ballpark

For a quick number on the fly

€49/estimate

  • 1 confident number
  • Margin of error ±300 %
  • “That’ll do” seal of approval
  • No justification
POPULAR

Expert Certainty

For everyone who needs numbers with decimals

€299/month

  • Unlimited estimates
  • Three decimal places
  • Confidence interval (entirely made up)
  • Bonus: 1× “with near-absolute certainty”

Expert Report

For boards, authorities & courts

On request

  • 80-page PDF
  • Methodology chapter with formulas
  • Stamp & signature
  • Supervisory-board-ready

What our clients say

Finally I can name a concrete number in the status meeting instead of admitting I don’t know. 72.4 % project progress — nobody asks where it came from.

– Project lead, mid-size corporation

We estimated the residual risk at 0.003 %. It did happen in the end, but the number was really pretty. Booking again.

– Risk manager, insurance company

The effort estimate was off by a factor of 5 — but thanks to the Schätzomat report, no one was to blame. Brilliant.

– Scrum Master, name on request

I’m an expert myself and estimate here all day. My hit rate? Hard to say. Around 91.7 %, I’d estimate.

– Senior estimator, Schätzomat

Frequently asked questions

Are your estimates accurate?

An estimate cannot, by definition, be wrong — it can only deviate from reality. And reality is not our department.

What happens if the estimate is off?

Then we provide a second estimate free of charge — the post-calculation — which explains in hindsight exactly why it turned out differently. This one is verifiably 100 % correct.

How are the numbers actually derived?

Through our proprietary algorithm: seasoned gut feeling, refined in an Excel spreadsheet, rounded to a number that looks respectable. The methodology is a trade secret.

Can I become an expert myself?

Yes! We’re always looking for talent. Requirements: a firm voice, a blazer and the ability to pronounce any number as if you had actually calculated it. Knowledge of statistics is a hindrance.

Is there a money-back guarantee?

We estimate the probability of a refund at 0.000 %. This estimate, like all our estimates, is non-binding.

Ready to finally name a number?

Join thousands of experts who long ago replaced uncertainty with confident decimal places.